The World Series Will Probably Be A Classic Rematch – FiveThirtyEight

This year’s MLB playoffs are rife with juicy storylines and potential rematches. It’s one of the deepest fields of great teams ever — a record four ballclubs won 100 or more games in 2019. And in the World Series alone, five of the six most likely matchups (according to our prediction model) would feature a repeat of an iconic playoff showdown from relatively recent history. Team Astros Yankees Twins Athletics Rays Dodgers 19.4% 14.0% 5.3% 3.9% 2.7% Braves 7.8 5.6 2.2 1.6 1.1 Cardinals 7.4 5.3 2.0 1.5 1.0 Nationals 6.3 4.6 1.7 1.3 0.9 Brewers 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 While something like Astros-Nationals — which has never happened in the postseason but is our fifth-most likely World Series matchup — might eventually be in store for us, there’s a 77 percent chance that this Fall Classic will give us a playoff rematch of some kind and a 64 percent chance of pairing teams that have faced each other since at least the 1980s. So here’s a breakdown of the past and present for the five most common championship rematches in our model’s simulations: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 19 percent chance of happening Then: 1981 Division Series,… Read full this story

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